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Programme and presentations

WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
FIRST SESSION OF
SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM
(SEECOF-1)

Zagreb, Croatia
11-12 June 2008


Day 1 : Seasonal Outlooks: Wednesday, 11 June 2008
Opening Ceremony
Dražen Vikić-Topić, Chief Guest
Mr R. Hoffer
Dr S. Žlebir
Mr I. Čačić \96 WELCOME SPEACH
Mr D. Hrček

Session I: General Concepts : Seasonal Prediction and Applications
1-1 RCOF Concept and Structure (R. Kolli, WMO)
1-2 User liaison and climate related risk management concepts (H. Meinke, Waginengen University)
1-3 Characteristic Features of climate variability and change over Southeastern European (SEE) countries (Č. Branković, Croatia)
1-4 GPC Products and their access to NMHSs (F. Molteni, ECMWF)
1-5 Downscaling of seasonal predictions/Climate Predictability Tool (S. Mason, IRI)
1-6 SEECOF Operations: Role of NMHSs, sub-regional entities, WMO, User sectors and other supporting agencies (J.-P. C\E9ron)

Session II: Current Climate and Seasonal Outlook for July-August-September (JAS) 2008
1-7 Review of 2007-08 rainfall and temperature conditions over SEE (S. Szalai, Hungary)
 
  GPC predictions of rainfall and temperature over SEE for JAS 2008
1-8 ECMWF (F. Molteni)
1-9 UKMO (A. Brookshaw)
1-10 Meteo France (J.-P. C\E9ron)
1-11 IRI (S. Mason)
 
  Country presentations
1-12 Armenia (Anahit Hovsepyan)
1-13 Bulgaria (Anelia Gocheva, Peer Hechler)
1-14 Bulgaria(Ilian Gospodinov)
1-15 Moldova (Lidia Trescilo)
1-16 Romania (Aristita Busuioc)
1-17 Serbia (Branko Bijelić)
1-18 Slovenia (Branko Gregorčič)

Day 2 : Climate Change Projections : Thursday, 12 June 2008
Session I: IPCC Assessments of Climate Change
2-1 Key Messages from IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Global Aspects (R. Kolli)
2-2 IPCC Assessment of observed and projected changes over Europe and SEE and aspects of model skills and uncertainties (J. Christensen)

Session II: Projections of regional climate change over SEE
2-3 Global Environmental Change: Challenges to Science and Society in South-Eastern Europe (V. Alexandrov)
2-4 Evaluation of regional climate models in representing SEE climate (E. Bruci)
 
  Downscaled climate change projections for SEE and South Caucasus
2-5 Serbia (B. Rajković)
2-6 Turkey (M. Coskun)
2-7 Albania (E. Bruci)
2-8 Armenia (A. Hovsepyan)
2-9 Azerbaijan (S. Khalilov)
2-10 Romania (A. Busuioc)
 
2-11 ENSEMBLES Project: Prospects for downscaling over SEE and understanding the uncertainties in climate projections (J. Christensen)
2-12 Planned research of the potential impacts of regional climate change in SEE countries (M. Dacić)

Session III: User requirements of regional climate change information
2-13 Long-term rainfall and temperature data in SEE countries for climate change studies (S. Szalai)
 
  Country presentations
2-14 Bulgaria (V.Alexandrov)
2-15 Bulgaria (V.Alexandrov)
2-16 Bulgaria (Anelia Gocheva, Tania Marinova, Lyubov Trifonova, Lilia Bocheva)
2-17 Bulgaria (Anelia Gocheva, Lyubov Trifonova, Tania Marinova, Lilia Bocheva)
2-18 Greece (Panagiotis Giannopoulos)
2-19 Romania (Aristita Busuioc, Constanta Boroneant, Madalina Baciu, Alexandru Dumitrescu)

Session IV: RCOF Processes for Regional Climate Change
2-20 RCOF processes for regional climate change (V. Alexandrov)

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Programme and
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Co-Sponsors
The World Bank
Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service
Meteo Swiss
Deutscher Wetterdienst
Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia

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